12. Public Transport (Bus, Light & Heavy Rail)
Slow progress on possible rail investments
The Strategy proposes a series of rail investments (Luas, DART) most of which were first proposed decades ago, started and then cancelled. During the intervening period the suburbanisation of the Greater Dublin Area has continued and extensive new housing developments are effectively inaccessible by public transport (Caulfied XXX). Certainly, there has been some modal shift away from the private car on the canal cordon around Dublin city centre, but overall car journeys in the GDA have continued to increase. At the same time the climate change crisis has become more acute with dramatic cuts in emissions
Continuing urban sprawl and accelerating climate change make accelerated investment in public transport more urgent than ever before. Outside of the major centres it is unrealistic to expect any significant reduction in car usage, whereas it is clear that in a city such as Dublin dramatic reduction in car usage is possible: the heavy lifting has to be done by Dublin. And this requires investment in rail, since international evidence suggests that improved bus services by themselves are unlikely to shift the demand for public transport on the scale required.
Instead of accelerating public transport investment, the Strategy essentially justifies continued delays and postponements. There is no explanation for the delays to date, and crucially no research on the consequences. Thus the Strategy announces that Metrolink will go to planning in 2022; this however represents a further delay given earlier announcements. There is no explanation as to why this could not have been done during 2021.
The same applies to DART+ West and DART+South West, for both of which Railway Orders will be placed during 2022. DART+ Coastal and Luas to Finglas only move to this stage in 2023 (Government approval of DART+ West was announced on 08/12/2021). The DART Expansion Programme was central to the previous version of the Strategy (Transport Strategy for the Greater Dublin Area 2016-2035) yet hardly any of the proposed electrification had been started by the time the current Strategy was developed. The Strategy makes no comment on this failure.
The Strategy also commits to purchase hybrid (electric/battery-electric) carriages for DART for delivery from 2024 onwards (the contract with Alstom has just been announced in December 2021). The Strategy does not explain that the hybrid stock is only necessary because of the delay in completing the electrification of the new DART+ routes. Hybrid stock is more expensive than normal electric stock and according to some reports less reliable.
Other long-mooted investments (Luas to Lucan, Luas to Bray) are proposed during the lifetime of the Strategy but with no clear timetable; plausible further expansions (Orbital luas, reconfiguration of Green and Red lines) are suggested for post-2044, And as for the Interconnector (DART Underground) which was still included in the 2016 Strategy, it now is remains just a distant possibility for the period after 2044. DART Underground has been consigned to the category of desirable but actually unachievable national aims (e.g. Draining the Shannon, restoring the Irish language, etc…).
Investments in public transport infrastructure necessarily take time to yield benefits. However, for the NTA it seems that this is an argument for delaying them. Given the increasing threat of climate change, the argument is surely to bring these investments forward so that they would have an impact sooner and their impact on reducing emissions last longer.
So far major public transport investments such as Luas have been once-off initiatives. Consequently there has been little build-up of expertise, competence and institutional memory in either the construction firms or the state organisations commissioning the projects. Astonishingly, when construction of the last Luas links in Dublin ended there was no shovel-ready project ready to begin! By subjecting individual projects to repeated evaluations the pattern of stop-go-stop is built in.
Design a network, rather than focussing on radial routes. When we look at the various public transport maps, we see a very strong radial pattern in all cases from urban bus to regional bus and from light rail to commuter rail. The Strategy focuses largely on moving large numbers of people along ‘Corridors’ from the suburbs to the city centre at peak times. Yet journeys to work are now less concentrated in these times and anyway most journeys to work are in fact suburb-to-suburb. The journey to work is only one of the many journeys that people make – or want to make. The overarching objective of transport planning needs to shift to facilitating inclusive and sustainable mobility – enabling all Dubliners to move around their city.
- Some steps towards a more integrated network approach including Orbital Core Bus Corridors and a revised fare structure which will facilitate interchanges.
- There are large gaps in the network - lack of connectivity will have implications for modal choice e.g. a trip for a family travelling from Rathmines to Dublin Zoo will take an estimated 56 minutes by public transport, 25 minutes by bicycle, on mostly unprotected roads, and 25 minutes by car.
- Design a network providing transport services apart from congestion/peak times